Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.052236 0.056760 0.061347 0.066338 0.071608 0.077001 0.082929
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043893 0.050382 0.057207 0.064891 0.073277 0.082121 0.092129
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037810 0.045655 0.054185 0.064085 0.075197 0.087221 0.101154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034697 0.043798 0.053983 0.066110 0.080041 0.095431 0.113604
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031553 0.041554 0.053053 0.067073 0.083519 0.102024 0.124240
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028839 0.039535 0.052150 0.067864 0.086651 0.108137 0.134307
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025864 0.036927 0.050310 0.067339 0.088073 0.112156 0.141889
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024013 0.035551 0.049825 0.068324 0.091202 0.118124 0.151741
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021720 0.033416 0.048230 0.067796 0.092380 0.121690 0.158703
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020055 0.031974 0.047399 0.068121 0.094526 0.126372 0.166983
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018936 0.031176 0.047324 0.069346 0.097752 0.132353 0.176847
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018534 0.031329 0.048477 0.072145 0.102973 0.140819 0.189804
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016276 0.028731 0.045853 0.069947 0.101817 0.141423 0.193213
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014755 0.027092 0.044444 0.069281 0.102578 0.144396 0.199555
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013463 0.025699 0.043296 0.068897 0.103656 0.147745 0.206372
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013123 0.025742 0.044171 0.071287 0.108420 0.155834 0.219226
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012451 0.025210 0.044179 0.072446 0.111536 0.161823 0.229462
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011764 0.024601 0.044033 0.073362 0.114313 0.167380 0.239183
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010757 0.023388 0.042923 0.072851 0.115109 0.170337 0.245571
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010223 0.022933 0.042926 0.073917 0.118058 0.176123 0.255632
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009348 0.021817 0.041856 0.073373 0.118742 0.178900 0.261795
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008743 0.021133 0.041418 0.073723 0.120652 0.183300 0.270084
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008387 0.020870 0.041627 0.075022 0.123893 0.189487 0.280738